Gdzie rynki były przechylone 2026-09-07

The gist: The global macro outlook is characterized by significant fragmentation and volatility, with a lean toward higher inflation and lower stability. While AI-driven productivity and renewable energy infrastructure show upward momentum, these are being countered by escalating geopolitical tensions, protectionist trade policies, and signs of labor market distress.

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The gist: US equities are leaning lower as rising Treasury yields and heightened geopolitical tensions create a headwind for broader markets. While AI-linked infrastructure and semiconductor themes show strength, this is being offset by weakness in the energy transition, automotive, and consumer-facing sectors. Watch: - The impact of the 10-year Treasury note yield reaching 4.818% on equity valuations.

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The gist: Energy markets are leaning higher, driven primarily by geopolitical instability in West Asia and rising fuel oil costs. While some regions face fragmented landscapes and resource constraints, the dominant momentum is upward due to surging diesel prices and Brent crude approaching USD 97. Watch: - Escalating geopolitical tensions and shipping strikes impacting oil and diesel prices.

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The gist: The FX market is showing a complex tug-of-war, but the balance leans toward a strengthening US Dollar driven by robust US employment data and rising inflation concerns from oil price volatility. While the Yen is rebounding on BoJ rate hike bets, emerging market currencies like the Indonesian Rupiah are facing downward pressure, and the Euro is leaning lower following significant declines in German…

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The gist: The rates and bonds market is leaning higher, driven by rising interest rate expectations and upward pressure on inflation. This direction is supported by a robust US jobs report that significantly exceeded forecasts and rising energy prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

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The gist: Emerging markets show a fragmented direction, with momentum leaning higher in AI-driven technology, industrial exports, and energy transition infrastructure, while facing downward pressure from housing sector instability and IT labor sentiment.

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The gist: European equities are leaning lower as geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices dampen momentum. While a robust US jobs report has provided some global growth optimism, this is being countered by cautious sentiment, rising climate-driven risks to the healthcare sector, and political uncertainty impacting tech-adjacent industrial sectors.

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The gist: The crypto market is displaying a tug-of-war between strong institutional inflows and significant security setbacks. While Bitcoin has struggled to maintain levels above $80,000 despite nearly $987 million in ETF inflows, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be complete as the asset holds above 76,235.

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The gist: The commodities market shows a fragmented outlook with a lean toward higher prices in industrial metals, food, and certain agricultural sectors, while precious metals face significant volatility and conflicting signals.

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