Où les marchés étaient en tendance 2026-08-27

The gist: The FX market is showing a leaning higher for the USD and KRW, driven by US inflation data and a Bank of Korea interest rate hike. While the JPY is leaning lower following signaled US Treasury intervention, emerging market currencies like the Thai Baht and Iranian Rial appear more fragile or leaning lower due to USD strength and geopolitical factors.

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The gist: The energy market shows a complex, conflicting direction as geopolitical volatility and rising fossil fuel costs push prices higher, while hawkish monetary policy signals exert downward pressure on energy prices.

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The gist: The commodities market shows a leaning higher direction, driven by geopolitical volatility in energy and agriculture, persistent inflation concerns favoring hard assets, and strong capital appetite for critical mineral exploration.

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The gist: US equities are leaning higher, primarily driven by strong momentum in technology and AI-related themes following blowout earnings and positive revenue guidance in the sector. While labor data shows falling unemployment claims, the broader market outlook is tempered by sideways movement in healthcare, biotech, and travel, alongside localized fragility in energy and regional job growth.

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The gist: The global macro outlook is characterized by a tug-of-war between rising inflationary pressures and sector-specific growth drivers. While global equities and housing development prospects appear fragile due to inflation and infrastructure constraints, energy-linked revenues and specialized sectors like tourism and healthcare are showing upward momentum. Watch: - U.S.

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The gist: Emerging markets are leaning lower overall as escalating trade tensions and environmental volatility in South Asia weigh against localized strengths. While Brazilian labor markets and Chinese rural tourism show significant upward momentum, these are being countered by declining trade stability and mixed performance in Chinese retail and automotive sectors.

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The gist: The crypto market is leaning higher, driven by strong momentum in Bitcoin and Ethereum, significant growth in the real-world asset (RWA) sector, and expanding institutional infrastructure. While localized regulatory and fraud risks present a sideways drag on sentiment, the broader balance leans bullish due to liquidity-driven rallies and increased utility through institutional adoption and integrated…

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The gist: The rates and bonds market is leaning higher, driven by labor market resilience in the U.S. and proactive tightening in South Korea. While there is evidence of fiscal attempts to cap long-dated Treasury yields in the U.S., sovereign bond futures in China are trending lower, creating a mixed outlook for global debt markets. Watch: - U.S.

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The gist: European equities are trending sideways as markets attempt to balance technological optimism against persistent inflationary pressures. While record AI-driven revenue from Nvidia has provided a tailwind for tech sentiment, this is being countered by U.S. PCE inflation data and a notable divergence in sector performance, where banking strength is offsetting fragility in software.

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